Futbolnomics
Politics

Stripping Manchester City of their titles would be the most pointless punishment possible

The leak about the case has revived calls to erase the club's trophy haul. It is the sanction that makes the most noise and repairs the least, because the offence is accounting and the victory was sporting.

September 27, 2026·5 min read
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All it takes is a leak for the same demand to resurface. The Athletic reports that the independent commission would have found almost all charges against Manchester City proven, the club denies it and maintains that proceedings are ongoing, and before anyone has read a ruling there are already rival players and managers calling for their league titles to be taken away. It is worth separating the two things, because they travel different roads: whether City broke the financial rules is a matter for a tribunal to decide, and that is not what this article debates. What can already be debated is which sanction would make sense if the breach is confirmed. And stripping titles is, of all the options on the table, the one that repairs the least.

The case for taking them away seems intuitive: if you cheated, you do not deserve what you won. But that intuition works when the cheating affects the result. If an athlete dopes, they run faster than they otherwise would have; there is a direct line between the offence and the performance, and that is why stripping the medal makes sense. Here there is nothing of the sort. Nobody is accusing City of fixing matches, buying referees or fielding ineligible players. The accusation is an accounting one: artificially inflating revenues in order to widen their spending margin under the financial sustainability rules.

And that is where the logical problem appears. Money buys squads, but it does not buy leagues, and the proof lies in the Premier League itself during those years. City competed against six clubs that, in terms of transfer firepower, were playing in the same economic division. Over the same period, Manchester United recorded a net spend significantly higher than City's and did not win a single Premier League title. Chelsea spent more and won one. Arsenal and Tottenham spent in the same order of magnitude and won none. If money were the automatic mechanism being suggested, the trophy haul of that decade would have been distributed very differently.

0Premier Leagues
Manchester United recorded a significantly higher net spend than City over the same period and won zero Premier League titles. If money were the automatic mechanism being suggested, the trophy haul would have looked very different.

That is what the law of diminishing returns reveals when applied to football. The difference between spending one hundred million and one thousand is enormous. The difference between spending one thousand and two thousand is almost irrelevant, because elite talent is scarce and does not multiply with the budget. There are not twenty-two world-class footballers available for any one squad, and those who exist do not accept being substitutes: the moment a City player understood that his place was not guaranteed, he left for another big club to be a starter. Guardiola, in fact, has always worked with compact squads, solving absences by repurposing profiles rather than pulling stars off the bench.

So City's starting eleven did not take the field against inferior opponents. They faced teams with players of the same level, equivalent wages and the resources to contest any match. And this is where the complaints from certain players and managers become uncomfortable, because saying your titles were stolen is tantamount to admitting something rather unflattering: that you expected to win because the opposition had a weaker squad than yours. No competitor should aspire to that. If you entered the pitch knowing that the team opposite was at your level and you lost thirty-eight matchdays in a row, what remains is acknowledging that the other side did it better.

None of this exonerates the club if the breach is confirmed. There is real damage, but it is not where people are looking. The advantage of having allegedly operated without the restrictions that bound everyone else does not give you better players: it gives you immunity to error. When Liverpool signed badly for sixty million, they dragged that decision for three seasons. When City got similar-sized signings wrong, they could go back to the market the following summer without dismantling anything. That is a genuine competitive advantage, and it is cumulative.

And there is a bigger victim, one almost nobody mentions because they do not feature in the conversation about titles. If the accusation is true, the real aggrieved party is not United or Liverpool, who competed on a comparable budget, but every club trapped below. Everton and Nottingham Forest were docked points for exceeding far more modest margins, without the corporate structure to dilute their accounts. The system allowed one club to walk through the door and then shut it behind them. That is the underlying grievance.

That is why the punishment should look forward, not backward. A hefty fine, transfer restrictions, a points deduction, and at the extreme an administrative relegation, which is an infinitely harsher sanction than stripping a cup. All of these have something in common: they genuinely hurt, they affect the club's present and they deter the next one thinking of doing the same. Stripping a title, by contrast, gives nothing back to anyone. A league cannot be reassigned eleven years later, nor can anyone decide what would have happened in a transfer market that never existed.

Administrative relegation
Administrative relegation is, according to the article, an infinitely harsher sanction than stripping a title, because it genuinely hurts, affects the club's present and deters anyone else thinking of doing the same.

A trophy cabinet is a record of what happened on the pitch, not a moral prize for good accounting behaviour. Rewriting it does not correct the financial advantage: it only creates the illusion that it has been corrected, while the problem that made it possible remains exactly the same.

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